The NASCAR Cup Series will begin the second half of its regular season on Sunday at the 2022 Coca-Cola 600. The sport's biggest endurance test will take place at Charlotte Motor Speedway, which has hosted NASCAR since it opened in 1960. Darrell Waltrip won the race a record five times and both Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. will have the chance to join a list of only eight drivers who have managed to win the race three times. The 2022 NASCAR Charlotte green flag drops at 6 p.m. ET on Fox (stream now on FuboTV).
Truex and Harvick are both still looking for their first 2022 win, and they will likely need one to make the NASCAR playoffs this season. Truex is listed at 9-1 in the 2022 Coca-Cola 600 odds, while Harvick is a 30-1 long shot. Kyle Larson is the 9-2 favorite, while Kyle Busch is just behind him on the NASCAR at Charlotte odds board at 13-2. Before scouring the 2022 Coca-Cola 600 starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Charlotte predictions, be sure to see the latest 2022 NASCAR at Charlotte picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. Then, it called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure's model also called Larson's win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season-finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship.
In total, it nailed five of Larson's wins during a historic season and has also gone 15-9 on its head-to-head matchup predictions to start the 2022 season. Earlier this season it was high on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a far better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before he won as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw huge returns on their NASCAR picks.
Now, the model simulated the 2022 NASCAR in Charlotte (see tickets at StubHub) 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2022 Coca-Cola 600 leaderboard.
Top 2022 Coca-Cola 600 predictions
One surprise: the model is high on Tyler Reddick, even though he's a 14-1 long shot in the latest 2022 NASCAR at Charlotte odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. In nine career starts on the oval at Charlotte Motor Speedway across NASCAR Camping World Truck Series, the NASCAR Xfinity Series and the NASCAR Cup Series, Reddick has seven top-10 finishes under his belt.
He won the 2019 Alsco Uniforms 300 in an Xfinity car and has been a factor in all three of his Cup starts in the Coca-Cola 600. Reddick has never finished worse than 14th in the race and has a pair of top-10 finishes, including a ninth-place finish after leading six laps last year. The 26-year-old is still looking for his first Cup win and is in a position where he'll likely need one to qualify for the postseason again and Charlotte looks like a solid opportunity for the Richard Childress Racing driver.
And a massive shocker: William Byron, one of the Vegas favorites at 10-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in the 2022 Coca-Cola 600 starting grid. Byron and Ross Chastain are the only two drivers with multiple wins this season and that guarantees that he'll be in the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs, but he's been finishing poorly of late.
Byron has been outside the top 10 in each of his last five starts and he was particularly disappointing with his 1.5-mile setup at Kansas two weeks ago, finishing 16th despite leading 25 laps. Byron was outside the top 10 again at Texas for the All-Star Race last week and has been outside the top 10 in three of his five career NASCAR Cup Series starts at Charlotte.
How to make 2022 NASCAR Charlotte picks
The model is also targeting one other driver with 2022 NASCAR at Charlotte odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs this driver could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the Coca-Cola 600 2022? And which long shots make a run at the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR at Charlotte odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2022 Coca-Cola 600 leaderboard, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson's wins last season.
2022 Coca-Cola 600 odds (via Caesars Sportsbook)
Kyle Larson 9-2
Kyle Busch 13-2
Chase Elliott 15-2
Martin Truex Jr. 9-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
William Byron 10-1
Ross Chastain 10-1
Denny Hamlin 10-1
Tyler Reddick 14-1
Christopher Bell 15-1
Alex Bowman 15-1
Kurt Busch 18-1
Joey Logano 18-1
Austin Cindric 30-1
Kevin Harvick 30-1
Chase Briscoe 40-1
Erik Jones 50-1
Daniel Suarez 50-1
Austin Dillon 60-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 60-1
Brad Keselowski 75-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Bubba Wallace 100-1
Chris Buescher 125-1
Cole Custer 150-1
Noah Gragson 250-1
Justin Haley 250-1
Harrison Burton 300-1
Ty Dillon 500-1
Michael McDowell 1000-1
Ryan Preece 1000-1
Todd Gilliland 1500-1
Corey LaJoie 2000-1
Kaz Grala 2500-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
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NASCAR at Charlotte 2022 odds, start time, TV channel: Model makes surprising Coca-Cola 600 picks, predictions - CBS Sports
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